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Chronicling the go up and fall season of the useful market theory and the century-long making of the modern financial industry, Justin Fox's "The Myth of the Rational Market" is really as much an intellectual whodunit as a cultural record of the perils and likelihood of risk. The reserve brings alive individuals and ideas that forged modern financing and making an investment, from the formative days and nights of Wall Block through the fantastic Depression and into the financial calamity of today. It's an account that features professors who made and lost fortunes, battled fiercely over ideas, defeat the home in blackjack, wrote bestselling literature, and played out major functions on the globe stage. It is also an account of Wall membrane Street's evolution, the energy of the marketplace to generate wealth and wreak havoc, and free market capitalism's conflict with itself.
The useful market hypothesis - long part of academics folklore but codified in the 1960s at the University or college of Chicago - has evolved into a robust myth. It's been the machine and loser of fortunes, the drivers of trillions of dollars, the creativity for index cash and great new derivatives markets, and the guidepost for a large number of careers. The theory holds that the marketplace is actually right, and that the decisions of an incredible number of rational investors, all functioning on information to outsmart each other, always supply the best judge of the stock's value. That misconception is crumbling.
Celebrated journalist and columnist Fox introduces a new influx of economists and scholars who no longer teach that investors are logical or that the markets are always right. Many of them now trust Yale professor Robert Shiller that the useful markets theory "represents one of the very most remarkable mistakes in the annals of economic thought." Today the idea has given way to counterintuitive hypotheses about human being behavior, psychological models of decision making, and the irrationality of the markets. Buyers overreact, underreact, and make irrational decisions based on imperfect data. In his landmark treatment of the annals of the world's markets, Fox uncovers the new ideas that will come to drive the marketplace in the century ahead.