Download The Theory That Would Not Die: How Bayes' Rule Cracked the Enigma Code, Hunted Down Russian Submarines, and Emerged Triumphant from Two Centuries of Controversy AudioBook Free
Bayes' rule appears to be an easy, one-line theorem: by updating our initial values with objective new information, we get a fresh and improved belief. To its adherents, it can be an elegant declaration about learning from experience. To its competitors, it is subjectivity run amok. Inside the first-ever bill of Bayes' guideline for general visitors and listeners, Sharon Bertsch McGrayne explores this controversial theorem and the real human obsessions bordering it. She traces its finding by an amateur mathematician in the 1740s through its development into roughly its modern form by French scientist Pierre Simon Laplace. She unveils why well known statisticians rendered it expertly taboo for 150 years - at the same time that experts relied onto it to solve crises including great uncertainty and scanty information, even breaking Germany's Enigma code during World War II, and clarifies how the advancement of off-the-shelf computer technology in the 1980s proved to be a game-changer. Today, Bayes' guideline is used everywhere you go from DNA decoding to Homeland Security. Drawing on major source material and interviews with statisticians and other scientists, The Theory That Would Not Pass away is the riveting bill of how a seemingly simple theorem ignited one of the greatest controversies ever.
