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New York City, the near future: Mitchell Zukor, a gifted young mathematician, is chosen by a inexplicable new financial consulting organization, FutureWorld. The business enterprise operates out of a clear office in the Empire State Building; Mitchell is employee number two. He is asked to analyze worst-case cases in the most elaborate details, and his techniques are sold to organizations to indemnify them against any future disasters. This is actually the cutting edge of commercial irresponsibility, and business is flourishing. As Mitchell immerses himself in the mathematics of catastrophe - ecological collapse, war video games, natural disasters - he becomes obsessed by a culture's fears. Yet he also manages to lose touch along with his last connection to actuality: Elsa Bruner, a friend with her own apocalyptic magic formula, who has started a commune in Maine. Then, equally Mitchell's predictions reach a nightmarish crescendo, a genuine worst-case circumstance overtakes Manhattan. Mitchell realizes he's uniquely ready to make money. But at what cost? At once, an all-too-plausible literary thriller, an unexpected love report, and a philosophically searching inquiry into the nature of fear, Nathaniel Rich's Chances Against Tomorrow poses the ultimate questions of imagination and civilization. The near future is not quite what it used to be.
